Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Deportivo Riestra 2		Colón Santa Fe 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.55
	2.01	3.3	3.8
	1.98	3.27	3.64	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.5
	1.97	3.51	3.61
	2.3	2.88	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	3.5 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra 2
45%

Draw
28.9%

Colón Santa Fe 2
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra 2's performance.

Colón Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colón Santa Fe 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Riestra 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Sanchez D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Colón 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Riestra 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.26	Barracas Central 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Lanús 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
26.03.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLT
- Colón Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	3:1 ✺
14.04.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Belgrano 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Lanús 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

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