Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Colón Santa Fe 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	3.2	3	2.31
	3.07	3.1	2.28	Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	3	3.34	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Santa Fe 2
30.1%

Draw
29.6%

Independiente 2
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.6%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Parmo T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, Junco N. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Independiente 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colón 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Colón 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Belgrano 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Lanús 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Platense 2	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Platense 2 - Independiente 2	2:2 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente 2 - Quilmes 2	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Independiente 2 - Central Córdoba 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.08.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2	0:3
18.03.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2	1:5
31.07.22	Independiente 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:1
13.04.22	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Independiente 2	0:1

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