Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 23

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Derby Académie		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.05	5.15	Watch
	1.68	3.16	5.03
	1.71	3.2	5.28	Watch
	1.7	2.9	5
	1.67	3.14	5.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	3.09 ↑ (2.88)	5.18 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby Académie
53.3%

Draw
29.2%

Bougouni
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

31.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

29.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby Académie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Derby Académie - Bougouni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Derby Académie have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bougouni is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Derby Académie is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby Académie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
25.05.26	Real Bamako - Derby Académie	1:0 ✺
19.05.26	Derby Académie - Onze Créateurs	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Diarra - Derby Académie	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	Derby Académie - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Binga - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWTT
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
24.05.26	Bougouni - Onze Créateurs	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	Stade Malien - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Djoliba - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Bougouni - Afrique Football Elite	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Korofina - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0

Derby Académie - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide