Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Derince Belediyespor		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.6	3.25	2
	3.88	3.05	2.04
	3.88	3.04	2.04
	3.68	3.13	1.96
	3.5	3.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.84)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	2 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
25%

Draw
29.3%

24 Erzincanspor
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.9%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Derince Belediyespor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

24 Erzincanspor is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

24 Erzincanspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

24 Erzincanspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Etimesgut - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Derince Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Isparta 32 Spor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Derince Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLT
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	24 Erzincanspor - Uşakspor	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Iskenderunspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:4 ✺
18.10.23	24 Erzincanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Düzcespor - 24 Erzincanspor	0:6 ✺
08.10.23	24 Erzincanspor - Sarıyer	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWT

Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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