The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derio 40%
Draw 27.3%
Aretxabaleta 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
25.9%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.2%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Derio - Aretxabaleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
Derio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aretxabaleta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Derio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Watch
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