The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derthona 30.2%
Draw 29.7%
Alessandria 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
29.2%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
28.6%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derthona - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Alfiero V. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Morganti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 3, ⚽,
64', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion).
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Alessandria may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Alessandria
6
5
0
1
12:8
4
15
3
Derthona FbC
6
3
2
1
7:6
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Derthona - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.4%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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