Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Derthona		Borgosesia

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.47	3.99	5.64
	1.47	3.99	5.64
	1.53	3.7	4.6
	1.47	4.15	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.74)	3.93 ↑ (3.45)	5.34 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
60.3%

Draw
22.9%

Borgosesia
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona's performance.

Borgosesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borgosesia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgosesia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borgosesia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Derthona is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Derthona won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Derthona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.11.23	Vado - Derthona	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Derthona - Bra	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Alcione - Derthona	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Derthona - Vogherese	3:2 ✺
04.10.23	Derthona - Chisola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWW
- Borgosesia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.11.23	Borgosesia - Chisola	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	PDHAE - Borgosesia	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Borgosesia - Pinerolo	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Alba - Borgosesia	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Borgosesia - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
16.04.23	Derthona - Borgosesia	1:3
04.12.22	Borgosesia - Derthona	2:2
12.02.22	Borgosesia - Derthona	0:0
06.10.21	Derthona - Borgosesia	1:1
24.01.21	Derthona - Borgosesia	3:2

Derthona - Borgosesia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide