Match Info

Mocambola - Round 17

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Desportivo Matola		ENH Vilankulo

	1	X	2
	2.54	3.03	2.76	Watch
	2.59	2.8	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.75 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Desportivo Matola
35.5%

Draw
31.3%

ENH Vilankulo
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Matola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ENH Vilankulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Desportivo Matola - ENH Vilankulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Litos (Own goal),
31', 1 - 1, Tomas ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Maravilha B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Atilio (Pen),
60', Elton 🟥,
76', 2 - 3, Maravilha B. ⚽,
82', Bernardo Guambe B. 🟥,
90+2', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Desportivo Matola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desportivo Matola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Matola
Mozambique Moçambola
07.09.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Maputo	74:57 ✺
29.08.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Desportivo Matola	3:1 ✺
26.08.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
07.07.25	Desportivo Matola - Costa do Sol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTL
- ENH Vilankulo
Mozambique Moçambola
17.09.25	Ferroviário da Beira - ENH Vilankulo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	ENH Vilankulo - Desportivo Matola	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Ferroviario Lichinga - ENH Vilankulo	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Costa do Sol - ENH Vilankulo	3:1 ✺
23.10.24	Black Bulls - ENH Vilankulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
29.06.25	ENH Vilankulo - Desportivo Matola	1:0

Upcoming Matches