Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dessel Sport		Belisia Bilzen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.85
	2.23	3.50	2.60
	1.87	3.91	3.47
	2.03	3.83	3.01	Watch
	1.90	3.80	3.30
	2.03	4.05	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.23)	3.77 ↑ (3.45)	3.03 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dessel Sport
45.4%

Draw
24.3%

Belisia Bilzen
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dessel Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dessel Sport's performance.

Belisia Bilzen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belisia Bilzen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Dessel Sport - Belisia Bilzen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 3, ⚽,
60', 3 - 3, ⚽,
65', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dessel holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dessel has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dessel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dessel	9	3	3	3	18:19	-1	12
10	Belisia Bilzen	9	3	2	4	16:18	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dessel Sport - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dessel Sport
Belgian National Division 1 VV
10.10.26	SK Roeselare - Dessel Sport	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Dessel Sport - Harelbeke	4:0 ✺
30.09.26	Merelbeke - Dessel Sport	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Dessel Sport - Cercle Brugge 2	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Houtvenne - Dessel Sport	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWL
- Belisia Bilzen
Belgian National Division 1 VV
11.10.26	Belisia Bilzen - Tienen	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Mandel United - Belisia Bilzen	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Belisia Bilzen - Heist	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Knokke - Belisia Bilzen	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Belisia Bilzen - Merelbeke	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
14.03.26	Belisia Bilzen - Dessel Sport	3:0
11.10.25	Dessel Sport - Belisia Bilzen	3:2
08.03.25	Dessel Sport - Belisia Bilzen	0:0
15.09.24	Belisia Bilzen - Dessel Sport	1:3

Dessel Sport - Belisia Bilzen