Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 17

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Armand Melis Stadium (Dessel)


	Dessel Sport		Diegem Sport

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3
	2	3.82	3.26
	1.97	3.86	3.12	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.95	3.64	3.19
	1.92	4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)	3.75 (3.75)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dessel Sport
46.5%

Draw
24.3%

Diegem Sport
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dessel Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Diegem Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diegem Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Dessel Sport - Diegem Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Dessel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Diegem has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dessel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dessel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dessel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dessel	6	3	2	1	13:11	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dessel Sport
Belgian National Division 1 VV
07.02.26	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Dessel Sport	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dessel Sport - Merelbeke	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ninove - Dessel Sport	1:6 ✺
17.01.26	Dessel Sport - SK Roeselare	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Hoogstraten - Dessel Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Koninklijke Diegem Sport
Belgian National Division 1 VV
07.02.26	Houtvenne - Diegem Sport	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Diegem Sport - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Merelbeke - Diegem Sport	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Diegem Sport - Hasselt	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Diegem Sport - Cercle Brugge 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
26.10.25	Diegem Sport - Dessel Sport	3:4
Belgian Cup
12.08.18	Dessel Sport - Diegem Sport	4:0

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