Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Detroit City		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.3
	1.62	3.7	6
	1.51	3.97	6.49	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.63	3.78	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)	3.69 ↑ (3.25)	5.55 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
58.2%

Draw
25.1%

Sporting Jacksonville
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Detroit City's performance.

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Detroit City - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 15. Dalou A. 10. Cedeno J. 8. Diop A. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.	31. Olivares C. (G) 22. Gomez A. 15. Edwards R. (C) 99. Traore M. 2. Neville H. 32. Soumaoro B. 6. Rossiter J. 3. Rose T. 24. Roberts T. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.
Substitutes
26. Egbuchulam C. 20. Hope-Gund R. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 2. Williams R.	18. Ackwei W. 11. Al Qaq A. 77. Armstrong D. 42. Casas E. (G) 7. Evans J. 26. Granitur L. 12. Rito E.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Smith D. ⚽,
29', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
42', Edwards R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Soumaoro B. ↓, Rito E. ↑,
65', Neville H. 🟨,
66', Sadlier K. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
68', Dalou A. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
79', Gomez A. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
79', Rossiter J. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
81', Diop A. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
81', Cedeno J. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
86', Diouf A. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
90', Rutz C. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Detroit City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting Jax is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sporting Jax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Detroit City is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
04.04.26	Rhode Island - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Flint City Bucks - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Detroit City - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Detroit City - Michigan Rangers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLW
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
04.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sporting Jacksonville	3:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Rhode Island - Sporting Jacksonville	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL

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