Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Deutz		VfL Alfter

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.45	3.7	1.76
	3.9	3.73	1.85
	3.2	3.7	1.83
	3.72	4.32	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.64)	3.79 ↓ (4.5)	1.79 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deutz
25.6%

Draw
23.8%

VfL Alfter
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

20.7%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deutz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deutz's performance.

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VfL Alfter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deutz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deutz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VfL Alfter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Alfter is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deutz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deutz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Deutz 05
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.03.22	Deutz - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:2 ✺
20.03.22	Pesch - Deutz	4:3 ✺
06.03.22	Breinig - Deutz	3:0 ✺
23.02.22	Deutz - Wesseling-Urfeld	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Siegburger - Deutz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.6 TLLWW
- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.03.22	VfL Alfter - Pesch	1:4 ✺
20.03.22	VfL Alfter - Vichttal	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - VfL Alfter	1:0 ✺
03.03.22	Wesseling-Urfeld - VfL Alfter	0:8 ✺
23.02.22	VfL Alfter - Breinig	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
12.09.21	VfL Alfter - Deutz	0:0
24.02.19	VfL Alfter - Deutz	1:1
26.08.18	Deutz - VfL Alfter	4:1

Deutz - VfL Alfter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide