Match Info
NPL Tasmania - Round 16Date: 18 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Devonport Oval (Devonport)
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Devonport City |
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South Hobart |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.10 |
3.60 |
2.00 |
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 |
3.95 |
3.70 |
1.66 |
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 |
2.88 |
3.80 |
2.25 |
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3.37 |
3.88 |
1.94 |
Watch |
 |
2.85 |
3.45 |
2.04 |
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 |
2.83 |
4.19 |
2.10 |
Watch |
 |
3.00 |
3.75 |
1.98 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(4.35) |
3.77 ↓
(3.85) |
2 ↑
(1.57) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Devonport City
29.4% | Draw
24.5% | South Hobart
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Devonport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Devonport City's performance.South Hobart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Hobart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Devonport City than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Devonport City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Hobart than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Hobart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Devonport City - South Hobart Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 23', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Devonport City won 1.At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.Recently, Devonport City has had a series of home games. In this match, South Hobart is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Devonport City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Devonport City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Tasmania | | | 02.05.26 | South Hobart - Devonport City | 3:2 | | 06.09.25 | Devonport City - South Hobart | 0:3 | | 19.07.25 | South Hobart - Devonport City | 2:2 | | 10.05.25 | Devonport City - South Hobart | 2:2 | | 24.08.24 | South Hobart - Devonport City | 1:2 | | 30.06.24 | South Hobart - Devonport City | 2:2 | | 20.04.24 | Devonport City - South Hobart | 1:1 |
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