Match Info

Hungarian Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport


	Diósgyőri		Videoton

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	1.90	3.65	3.35
	1.86	3.48	3.47
	2.35	3.46	2.64
	1.91	3.35	3.25
	1.97	3.44	3.32
	1.86	3.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.3)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.21 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
45.9%

Draw
25.9%

Videoton
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diósgyőri's performance.

Videoton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Videoton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diósgyőri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Videoton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diósgyőri - Videoton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Galantai T. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Babinszky B. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Galantai T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 4 - 0, Babinszky B. ⚽,
67', 4 - 1, Kovacs E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB II
07.09.26	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Diósgyőri - BVSC-Zugló	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tiszakécske - Diósgyőri	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Diósgyőri - Ajka	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Nagykanizsa - Diósgyőri	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTW
- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB II
07.09.26	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Karcag - Videoton	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Videoton - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kecskemeti - Videoton	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kazincbarcikai - Videoton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
07.09.26	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1
Hungarian NB I
16.03.25	Videoton - Diósgyőri	0:0
10.11.24	Diósgyőri - Videoton	1:0
Hungarian Cup
30.10.24	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1
Hungarian NB I
03.08.24	Videoton - Diósgyőri	3:1
18.05.24	Videoton - Diósgyőri	0:0
24.02.24	Diósgyőri - Videoton	4:0

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