Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Diagoras		Aris Petroupolis

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.68
	4.85	3.3	1.69
	4	3.15	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (7)	3.23 ↓ (4.4)	1.75 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diagoras
20%

Draw
28.1%

Aris Petroupolis
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

20.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

20.2%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diagoras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diagoras's performance.

Aris Petroupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris Petroupolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diagoras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diagoras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Petroupolis than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris Petroupolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diagoras - Aris Petroupolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Winners stage: )).

In recent matches, Diagoras has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aris Petroupolis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aris Petroupolis is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diagoras FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
16.11.25	Amarynthiakos - Diagoras	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Diagoras - Doxa Vyronas	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Diagoras - Apollon Kalythion	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Nea Artaki - Diagoras	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Diagoras - Rodos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTWLT
- Aris Petroupolis
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
16.11.25	Aris Petroupolis - Apollon Kalythion	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Nea Artaki - Aris Petroupolis	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Aris Petroupolis - Afantou	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Karystou - Aris Petroupolis	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Aris Petroupolis - Nea Ionia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWTW

Diagoras - Aris Petroupolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide