Match Info

Date: 20 January 2022, Thursday


	Diagoras		Ergotelis

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.45	2.55
	2.7	2.95	2.5
	2.88	2.44	2.83
	2.8	2.6	2.7
	2.69	3.15	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.55)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diagoras
31.8%

Draw
33.4%

Ergotelis
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diagoras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ergotelis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diagoras than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diagoras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergotelis than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ergotelis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Diagoras is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ergotelis is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Diagoras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Diagoras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diagoras FC
Greek Super League 2
16.01.22	Zakynthos - Diagoras	0:2 ✺
12.01.22	Diagoras - PAE Chania	2:2 ✺
19.12.21	Karaiskakis - Diagoras	0:0 ✺
15.12.21	Diagoras - Panathinaikos B	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Kalamata - Diagoras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTLL
- Ergotelis
Greek Super League 2
16.01.22	Athens Kallithea - Ergotelis	3:2 ✺
12.01.22	Ergotelis - OF Ierapetra	1:3 ✺
19.12.21	Ergotelis - Asteras Vlachioti	0:0 ✺
11.12.21	Karaiskakis - Ergotelis	3:2 ✺
04.12.21	Ergotelis - Panathinaikos B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
28.04.21	Ergotelis - Diagoras	3:1
07.04.21	Diagoras - Ergotelis	1:1
14.02.21	Ergotelis - Diagoras	2:0

Diagoras - Ergotelis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide