Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Diegem Sport		Merelbeke

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.2
	1.98	3.55	3.66
	2.01	3.52	3.28	Watch
	1.97	3.36	3.37
	2.37	3.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)	3.45 ↑ (3.36)	3.23 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diegem Sport
44.7%

Draw
26.8%

Merelbeke
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diegem Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diegem Sport's performance.

Merelbeke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merelbeke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diegem Sport than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diegem Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merelbeke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diegem Sport - Merelbeke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Recent form of Diegem has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Merelbeke is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Diegem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diegem could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koninklijke Diegem Sport
Belgian National Division 1 VV
09.11.25	Diegem Sport - SK Roeselare	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Cercle Brugge 2 - Diegem Sport	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Diegem Sport - Dessel Sport	3:4 ✺
19.10.25	Belisia Bilzen - Diegem Sport	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Diegem Sport - Houtvenne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLT
- KFC Merelbeke
Belgian National Division 1 VV
08.11.25	Houtvenne - Merelbeke	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merelbeke - Hoogstraten	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hasselt - Merelbeke	5:0 ✺
19.10.25	Merelbeke - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Thes Sport - Merelbeke	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Diegem Sport - Merelbeke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide