Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 21

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium (El Jadida)

Referee: Boulfaid A. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia, SNRT Live


	Difaa El Jadida		Olympic Safi

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.7	2.3
	3.1	2.75	2.25
	3.3	2.82	2.3
	3.33	2.69	2.38
	3.57	2.44	2.52	Watch
	3.2	2.6	2.3
	3.32	2.69	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.88)	2.67 ↓ (2.83)	2.34 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Difaa El Jadida
27.5%

Draw
33.9%

Olympic Safi
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

32.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

31.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Difaa El Jadida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Olympic Safi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difaa El Jadida than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Difaa El Jadida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympic Safi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Difaa El Jadida - Olympic Safi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Difaa El Jadida will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Olympic Safi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Niasse B. (G) 23. Abaaziz S. 2. Benchchaoui O. 80. Da Costa R. 6. El Idrissi Bouzidi B. (C) 20. Fatine Y. 99. Idrissi A. 88. Michte Y. 24. Oubraim Z. 5. Sanogo A. 77. Ziani A.	12. Hamiani H. (G) 29. El Bouchqali S. 5. Errahouli S. 13. Ferhani H. 28. Habbassi A. 8. Karmoune F. (C) 19. Najari Y. 4. Ngoma F. 10. Ouhatti A. 31. Semmoumy H. 32. Serbout I.
Substitutes
16. Ait Wahmane A. (G) 8. El Khafi A. 17. Ennakouss A. 21. Hilali M. 9. Lamine Y. 12. Mostakime A. 10. Mouchtanim M. 13. Riyane A. 7. Sabik I.	21. Chemlal M. 22. Eddaou A. 11. Elaz M. 17. El Houari A. 27. El Morsli S. 25. El Motie Y. (G) 15. Kordani Y. 30. Mkhair A. 2. Soufeir A.
Coaches
Almeida R.	Khatoui C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', El Bouchqali S. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Fatine Y. ⚽, El Idrissi Bouzidi B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ngoma F. ↓, Mkhair A. ↑,
46', Semmoumy H. ↓, Elaz M. ↑,
46', Michte Y. ↓, El Khafi A. ↑,
54', Benchchaoui O. ↓, Lamine Y. ↑,
64', Fatine Y. 🟨,
68', Ziani A. ↓, Mouchtanim M. ↑,
78', Da Costa R. ↓, Hilali M. ↑,
78', Idrissi A. ↓, Riyane A. ↑,
79', Ferhani H. ↓, El Morsli S. ↑,
79', Habbassi A. ↓, Eddaou A. ↑,
81', Serbout I. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Serbout I. ⚽,
90+2', Errahouli S. ↓, Chemlal M. ↑,
90+2', Chemlal M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Difaa El Jadida won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Olympic Safi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Difaa El Jadida won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Difaa El Jadida won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Difaa El Jadidi	2	0	0	2	2:8	-6	0

Last Results with these Odds

Difaa El Jadida - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.95%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Difaa El Jadida
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
17.05.26	Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida	0:3 ✺
Moroccan Botola
10.05.26	IR Tanger - Difaa El Jadida	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Difaa El Jadida - Hassania Agadir	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Raja Casablanca - Difaa El Jadida	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Difaa El Jadida - Renaissance Zemamra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTLW
- Olympic Safi
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
16.05.26	Olympic Safi - Olympique Dcheira	3:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
11.05.26	Olympic Safi - FUS Rabat	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	FAR Rabat - Olympic Safi	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Hassania Agadir - Olympic Safi	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Olympic Safi - IR Tanger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
05.11.25	Olympic Safi - Difaa El Jadida	1:2
08.02.25	Olympic Safi - Difaa El Jadida	0:0
06.10.24	Difaa El Jadida - Olympic Safi	1:2
14.04.23	Difaa El Jadida - Olympic Safi	0:1
04.11.22	Olympic Safi - Difaa El Jadida	0:0
04.02.22	Difaa El Jadida - Olympic Safi	1:0
10.09.21	Olympic Safi - Difaa El Jadida	0:1

Difaa El Jadida - Olympic Safi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide