Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Dinamo Samarkand Stadium (Samarkand)

Referee: To'ychiboyev O. (Uzb)


	Dinamo Samarqand		Xorazm Urganch

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.70	4.50
	1.65	3.35	4.50
	1.80	3.58	4.85
	1.75	3.38	4.56	Watch
	1.57	3.45	4.95
	1.67	3.66	5.10
	1.68	3.50	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	3.52 ↑ (3.07)	4.72 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Samarqand
54.6%

Draw
26%

Xorazm Urganch
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

29.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Samarqand's performance.

Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Nemanov E. (G) 3. Stefan M. 26. Stanojevic M. 20. Jumaboev J. 4. Tukhtasinov N. 7. Kodirkulov S. 19. Avanesyan T. 15. Yuldashev R. 16. Dumbuya A. 37. Abdurakhmonov F. 77. Oblakulov B.	77. Ergashev U. (G) 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 34. Izzatov S. 2. Ortiqboyev D. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 96. Rafael Sabino 94. Abdukhamidov R. 13. Lohan 17. Nugumanov D. 71. Sultonov U. 90. Khoshimov U.
Substitutes
22. Abdullaev U. 21. Abdusalomov J. 18. Djeparov R. 30. Hajdarevic H. 44. Khaydarov A. 24. Khudoyberdiev A. 17. Mustafoev S. 25. Ormonjonov O. 13. Yagudin R. (G)	8. Abdikholikov N. 9. Azimov S. 88. Khusinov A. 6. Muzaffarov N. 12. Shiryaev M. 33. Stosic N. (G) 3. Sultonov R. 41. Ummatov I. 20. Yejov D.
Coaches
Abramov V.	Tokov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Abdullaev U. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Abdukhamidov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Azimov S. ↑,
46', Yuldashev R. ↓, Hajdarevic H. ↑,
46', Tukhtasinov N. ↓, Abdusalomov J. ↑,
58', Dumbuya A. ↓, Khaydarov A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Oblakulov B. ⚽,
65', Rafael Sabino ↓, Abdikholikov N. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Abdusalomov J. ⚽,
75', Avanesyan T. ↓, Ormonjonov O. ↑,
78', Sultonov U. ↓, Yejov D. ↑,
78', Lohan ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Ortikboev D. ⚽, Nugumanov D. (A),
84', Khoshimov U. ↓, Ummatov I. ↑,
90', Yejov D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

Dinamo Samarqand is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xorazm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dinamo Samarqand is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Din. Samarkand	22	8	6	8	33:34	-1	30
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League
07.08.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Kokand 1912	3:2 ✺
23.07.26	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Qizilqum - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWWW
- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
07.08.26	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	5:1 ✺
28.07.26	Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Pakhtakor - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Xorazm Urganch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
03.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1
30.10.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch	3:1
15.06.25	Xorazm Urganch - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2

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