Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 26

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Gagra

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.58	3.55	4.70	Watch
	1.63	3.88	4.96
	1.59	3.81	5.07	Watch
	1.61	3.70	4.90
	1.66	3.91	4.69
	1.59	3.65	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	4.82 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
56.9%

Draw
24.3%

Gagra
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

23.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dinamo Tbilisi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gagra will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Flores L. (G) 17. Psaltis P. 27. Kurdic N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 6. Leo Santos 8. Welton 23. Kankava J. 22. Ninua N. (C) 10. Kharaishvili G. 7. Doltmurziev K. 14. Do Couto M.	1. Vorobey O. (G) 40. Claudinei 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. (C) 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 33. Gurchiani L. 8. Skrypnyk I. 21. Peikrishvili A. 18. Bliznichenko V. 9. Mujiri D. 30. Goshteliani G.
Substitutes
34. Gbomadu M. 26. Gogua G. 33. Houri L. 39. Kakashvili K. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 30. Lomidze G. 37. Makatsaria M. (G) 32. Tsikolia L. 11. Vatsadze M.	29. Adeyeye R. 23. Andreychuk A. 3. Chochia O. 35. Dmitrievich A. (G) 19. Khachidze G. 5. Nazarov Y. 15. Slavitsky N. 17. Vinicius Cesar 11. Zoidze S.
Coaches
Ketsbaia T.	Ljubenovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ninua N. ⚽, Leo Santos (A),
30', Mujiri D. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Kharaishvili G. ⚽, Do Couto M. (A),
44', Augusto 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Kharaishvili G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Goshteliani G. ↓, Vinicius Cesar ↑,
46', Mujiri D. ↓, Andreychuk A. ↑,
57', Doltmurziev K. ↓, Vatsadze M. ↑,
57', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
57', Bliznichenko V. ↓, Adeyeye R. ↑,
62', Vinicius Cesar ↓, Zoidze S. ↑,
63', Augusto 🟨,
64', 4 - 0, Kurdic N. ⚽, Ninua N. (A),
69', Peikrishvili A. ↓, Nazarov Y. ↑,
70', Do Couto M. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
74', Leo Santos ↓, Gogua G. ↑,
74', Kankava J. ↓, Kakashvili K. ↑,
83', Adeyeye R. 🟨,
90+2', Kakashvili K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Dinamo Tbilisi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Tbilisi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	25:37	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWLL
- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.09.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dila Gori - Gagra	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gagra - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Gagra - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.08.26	Rustavi - Gagra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
14.06.26	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1
21.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1
21.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	2:4
13.09.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1
16.05.25	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1
05.04.25	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:4
08.12.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1

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