Match Info

Date: 19 August 2020, Wednesday


	Dinamo Tbilisi		Tirana

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.53	3.8	6
	1.55	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.8	6
	1.56	3.96	5.99
	1.44	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.88	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)	3.85 ↑ (3.39)	6.34 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi
61.2%

Draw
24.1%

Tirana
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Tbilisi's performance.

Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tirana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Tbilisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.8%	2.6%	4.6%

Dinamo Tbilisi - Tirana Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Tbilisi will win (141 of 152 users predict this - 92.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.64% – 96.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Dinamo Tbilisi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tirana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tirana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dinamo Tbilisi is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
12.08.20	Telavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
07.08.20	Merani Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
01.08.20	Dinamo Tbilisi - Chikhura Sachkhere	1:0 ✺
25.07.20	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:4 ✺
19.07.20	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWL
- KF Tirana
Albanian Cup
02.08.20	Teuta Durrës - Tirana	2:0 ✺
Albanian Super League
24.07.20	Laçi - Tirana	3:1 ✺
18.07.20	Tirana - Flamurtari Vlorë	2:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.07.20	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	2:0 ✺
Albanian Super League
10.07.20	Partizani Tirana - Tirana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWT

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