Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 25

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Vitali Daraselia Academy (Tbilisi)


	Dinamo Tbilisi 2		Aragvi Dusheti

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.45	2.35
	2.52	3.61	2.31
	2.57	3.44	2.34
	2.6	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	2.34 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Tbilisi 2
35.2%

Draw
26%

Aragvi Dusheti
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Tbilisi 2's form might have worsened.

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aragvi Dusheti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi 2 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Tbilisi 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aragvi Dusheti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Aragvi Dusheti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Ghagvishvili M. (G) 38. Tsetskhladze N. 41. Shashiashvili L. 2. Akhalkatsi S. 26. Kverenchkhiladze S. 17. Tkalia N. 31. Tsetskhladze G. 32. Elisashvili N. 30. Pridonishvili L. 9. Iobashvili J. (C) 11. Samushia S.	1. Nanava L. (G) 35. Koberidze A. 8. Maisashvili D. (C) 14. Tsurtsumia G. 23. Meliava K. 6. Vasadze G. 40. Chkhaidze R. 5. Bafuri A. 28. Kim Chan-Woo 11. Bregvadze T. 10. Asprilla J.
Substitutes
33. Chikovani N. 34. Chochoshvili D. (G) 35. Haruna S. 8. Nakhshvili N. 4. Nikolaishvili G. 40. Odikadze T.	3. Adamadze G. 25. Andghuladze S. 18. Chiabrishvili I. 27. Dekanoidze D. 4. Gogiashvili J. 17. Janelidze G. 7. Kekana L. 12. Kutateladze G. (G) 22. Toradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Tkalia N. 🟨,
28', Tsetskhladze N. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Bregvadze T. ⚽,
41', Koberidze A. 🟨,
45+1', Meliava K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', Akhalkatsi S. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Kim Chan-Woo ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Asprilla J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Iobashvili J. (Pen),

Preview

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aragvi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aragvi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Tbilisi 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Tbilisi 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Tbilisi 2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
14.09.24	WIT Georgia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Spaeri	0:4 ✺
27.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.09.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Kolkheti Khobi	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	WIT Georgia - Aragvi Dusheti	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Spaeri - Aragvi Dusheti	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Sioni Bolnisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.06.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:2
17.04.24	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Aragvi Dusheti	3:1

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