Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Diocesano		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.98
	3.35	3.28	2.02
	3.4	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
26.9%

Draw
27.9%

Villanovense
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

27.4%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Diocesano - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Diocesano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villanovense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Villanovense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villanovense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.25	Diocesano - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Badajoz - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Diocesano - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Montijo - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Diocesano - Moralo	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTT
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
13.10.25	Don Benito - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Villanovense - Gévora	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Calamonte - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Villanovense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Villanovense - Diocesano	0:0
08.10.22	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.01.20	Diocesano - Villanovense	5:1

Diocesano - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide