Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Diósgyőri Stadion (Miskolc)


	Diósgyőri		Szombathelyi Haladas

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	6.25
	1.4	4.35	6.3
	1.39	4.3	6.2
	1.4	4.59	7.21
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.36	4.55	6.9	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)	4.4 ↑ (3.85)	6.57 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
65.4%

Draw
20.7%

Szombathelyi Haladas
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diósgyőri's performance.

Szombathelyi Haladas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Szombathelyi Haladas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diósgyőri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Szombathelyi Haladas than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Szombathelyi Haladas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Diósgyőri - Szombathelyi Haladas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Haladas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diósgyőri: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 2.

Diósgyőri in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Halada's is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Diósgyőri is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Diósgyőri to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Diósgyőri won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB II
27.11.22	Győri ETO - Diósgyőri	0:3 ✺
13.11.22	Diósgyőri - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Csákvári - Diósgyőri	0:3 ✺
06.11.22	Szeged 2011 - Diósgyőri	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Diósgyőri - Kozármisleny	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT
- Szombathelyi Haladas
Hungarian NB II
27.11.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Kozármisleny	6:4 ✺
13.11.22	Mosonmagyaróvár - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:0 ✺
09.11.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Budafoki	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Békéscsaba 1912 - Szombathelyi Haladas	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Dorogi	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
18.04.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Diósgyőri	1:0
01.11.21	Diósgyőri - Szombathelyi Haladas	2:0
Hungarian NB I
06.04.19	Diósgyőri - Szombathelyi Haladas	0:1
01.12.18	Szombathelyi Haladas - Diósgyőri	1:1
18.08.18	Diósgyőri - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:0
07.04.18	Diósgyőri - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:2
28.10.17	Szombathelyi Haladas - Diósgyőri	0:3

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