The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dom Bosco 19.1%
Draw 26.7%
Mixto 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
26.1%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
25.1%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dom Bosco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dom Bosco than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
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Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Dom Bosco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Mixto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mixto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mixto is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Dom Bosco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Dom Bosco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.