The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Don Bosco Jarabacoa 29.4%
Draw 27.5%
Universidad O&M 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
29.8%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
27.9%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Don Bosco Jarabacoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Universidad O&M has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad O&M's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Bosco Jarabacoa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Don Bosco Jarabacoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad O&M than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad O&M, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Universidad O&M Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Renteria D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Cuello E. ⚽,
42', Renteria D. 🟥,
42', Aguero I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+2', 1 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Gomez A. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jarabacoa won 0.
Recent performances by Jarabacoa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Universidad O&M's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Universidad O&M could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jarabacoa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jarabacoa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
Dominican-republic
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