Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.37	2.91	2.95
	1.95	3.16	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.22 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
41.8%

Draw
30%

Jaraíz
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Álvaro's performance.

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaraíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Álvaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.02.24	Trujillo - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Don Álvaro - Coria	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Calamonte - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Valverdeño - Don Álvaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TTLWW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.02.24	Jaraíz - Racing Valverdeño	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Azuaga - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Jaraíz - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Jaraíz - Fuente de Cantos	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Don Benito - Jaraíz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLTL

Don Álvaro - Jaraíz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide