Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 21

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Donaustauf		Jahn Regensburg II

	1	X	2
	4	4.33	1.62
	4.18	4.6	1.62
	4.18	4.61	1.63
	4.49	4.36	1.59
	4	4.33	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.31)	4.45 ↑ (4)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donaustauf
22.1%

Draw
20.8%

Jahn Regensburg II
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

22.6%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.2%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donaustauf's form might have worsened.

Jahn Regensburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jahn Regensburg II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg II than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jahn Regensburg II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, Kryezi R. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Schmidt C. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Donaustauf won 2.

Donaustauf is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jahn Regensburg II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Jahn Regensburg II is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Donaustauf won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Donaustauf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.04.24	Abtswind - Donaustauf	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Donaustauf - Coburg	4:1 ✺
03.04.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Donaustauf	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Donaustauf - Bayern Hof	0:7 ✺
19.03.24	Donaustauf - Würzburger FV	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Jahn Regensburg II
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.04.24	DJK Ammerthal - Jahn Regensburg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Eltersdorf	3:0 ✺
28.03.24	Neudrossenfeld - Jahn Regensburg II	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jahn Regensburg II - Würzburger FV	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Kornburg - Jahn Regensburg II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
25.07.23	Jahn Regensburg II - Donaustauf	1:1
03.05.23	Donaustauf - Jahn Regensburg II	0:2
27.08.22	Jahn Regensburg II - Donaustauf	0:2
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
18.03.22	Jahn Regensburg II - Donaustauf	2:0
22.09.21	Donaustauf - Jahn Regensburg II	4:2
22.09.19	Donaustauf - Jahn Regensburg II	1:3

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