Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Donaustauf		Würzburger FV

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	2.6	3.7	2.46
	2.6	3.57	2.47
	2.38	3.6	2.3
	2.47	3.66	2.33
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.28)	3.67 ↑ (3.61)	2.2 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donaustauf
32.6%

Draw
25.3%

Würzburger FV
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donaustauf's form might have worsened.

Würzburger FV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Würzburger FV's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Donaustauf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger FV than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Würzburger FV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	27.8%	33.3%

Donaustauf - Würzburger FV Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Donaustauf will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Würzburger FV will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Donaustauf: 16.4% – 61.4%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Zaskoku E. ⚽,
44', Hock F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', Wagner N. ⚽,
53', Michel D. ⚽,
75', Krettek J. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Würzburger FV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Donaustauf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Donaustauf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
09.03.24	Donaustauf - Feucht	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Neudrossenfeld - Donaustauf	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	DJK Ammerthal - Donaustauf	0:4 ✺
24.02.24	Donaustauf - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Gebenbach - Donaustauf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLL
- Würzburger FV
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
16.03.24	Würzburger FV - Gebenbach	2:4 ✺
09.03.24	Eichstätt - Würzburger FV	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Würzburger FV - Ingolstadt II	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	Kornburg - Würzburger FV	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Würzburger FV - Cham	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.08.23	Würzburger FV - Donaustauf	2:0
15.04.23	Donaustauf - Würzburger FV	1:2
10.09.22	Würzburger FV - Donaustauf	3:1

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