Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Douanes Nouakchott		Chemal

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.42	5.32
	1.62	3.47	5.39
	1.62	3.1	5.5
	1.6	3.34	5.65
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	5.37 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douanes Nouakchott
56.3%

Draw
26.9%

Chemal
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

26.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

25.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chemal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douanes Nouakchott, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemal than the current prediction. (-4%)

Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Douanes Nouakchott (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Douanes Nouakchott won 2.

Douanes Nouakchott is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Chemal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chemal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Douanes Nouakchott is the clear favorite.

We predict that Douanes Nouakchott will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Douanes Nouakchott won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Douanes Nouakchott won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Douanes Nouakchott
Mauritania Ligue 1
09.12.25	Nouakchott Academie - Douanes Nouakchott	2:4 ✺
02.12.25	Douanes Nouakchott - SNIM	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Pompier - Douanes Nouakchott	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	6:1 ✺
01.11.25	Nouakchott Kings - Douanes Nouakchott	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW
- Chemal FC
Mauritania Ligue 1
06.12.25	Chemal - Ksar	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	Chemal - Gendrim	3:4 ✺
09.11.25	Kaédi - Chemal	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Chemal - Nouadhibou	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Nouakchott Academie - Chemal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
27.02.25	Chemal - Douanes Nouakchott	0:0
19.10.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal	3:2
13.04.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal	1:1
12.11.23	Chemal - Douanes Nouakchott	0:0
27.02.23	Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal	3:0
22.10.22	Chemal - Douanes Nouakchott	1:1

Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide