Match Info

BRAZIL: SUL-MATOGROSSENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Dourados		Costa Rica

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.1
	1.73	3.6	3.55
	1.79	3.26	4.32
	1.77	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)	3.33 ↓ (4)	4.04 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dourados
50.8%

Draw
27%

Costa Rica
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dourados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dourados's form might have worsened.

Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dourados than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dourados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Costa Rica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Dourados is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Costa Rica is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dourados is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dourados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dourados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dourados AC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
17.03.24	Costa Rica - Dourados	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Dourados - Ivinhema	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Novoperário - Dourados	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Dourados - Aquidauanense	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ivinhema - Dourados	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW
- Costa Rica
CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.24	Costa Rica - Honduras	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
17.03.24	Costa Rica - Dourados	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Coxim - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
28.02.24	União Rondonópolis - Costa Rica	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Costa Rica - América RN	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
17.03.24	Costa Rica - Dourados	0:0
10.04.22	Dourados - Costa Rica	1:5
23.03.22	Costa Rica - Dourados	1:0
13.05.21	Dourados - Costa Rica	0:0

Dourados - Costa Rica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide