Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 24

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Drøbak-Frogn		Elverum

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.80	2.30
	2.38	4.35	2.06
	2.60	3.80	2.15
	2.33	3.87	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.35
	2.38	4.34	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.71)	3.99 ↓ (4.59)	2.28 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drøbak-Frogn
37.3%

Draw
22.8%

Elverum
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

20%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

19.9%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drøbak-Frogn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Elverum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elverum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drøbak-Frogn than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elverum than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elverum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Drøbak Frogn - Elverum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Fodstad M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Fylling J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Solum M. ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, Damhaug M. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 2nd).

Drøbak-Frogn has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Elverum have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Drøbak-Frogn may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Elverum holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Drøbak-Frogn has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Elverum	25	17	2	6	71:40	31	53
5	Drobak-Frogn	25	12	5	8	56:36	20	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Drøbak-Frogn
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
10.10.26	Oppsal - Drøbak-Frogn	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Drøbak-Frogn - Sarpsborg 2	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Drøbak-Frogn - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Rælingen - Drøbak-Frogn	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Drøbak-Frogn - Lyn 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWTW
- Elverum
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.10.26	Elverum - Lyn 2	4:3 ✺
26.09.26	Sandefjord 2 - Elverum	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Elverum - Rælingen	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Elverum - Raufoss	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
12.09.26	Råde - Elverum	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
18.04.26	Elverum - Drøbak-Frogn	1:0

Drøbak-Frogn - Elverum