Match Info

2. SNL - Round 22

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Drava Ptuj		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.45	3.55	1.9	Watch
	3.51	3.65	1.98	Watch
	3.46	3.4	1.94
	3.45	3.55	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.82)	3.51 ↑ (3.29)	1.92 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drava Ptuj
26.4%

Draw
26%

Rudar Velenje
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drava Ptuj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Drava Ptuj's form might have worsened.

Rudar Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rudar Velenje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drava Ptuj than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drava Ptuj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rudar Velenje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Drava Ptuj - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Drava is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rudar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rudar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rudar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Drava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Drava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Drava Ptuj
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Drava Ptuj	4:0 ✺
23.03.25	Drava Ptuj - Beltinci	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gorica - Drava Ptuj	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Drava Ptuj - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Drava Ptuj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLL
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.25	Rudar Velenje - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Triglav - Rudar Velenje	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rudar Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Rudar Velenje - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Beltinci - Rudar Velenje	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
21.09.24	Rudar Velenje - Drava Ptuj	0:0
26.03.22	Drava Ptuj - Rudar Velenje	0:4
11.09.21	Rudar Velenje - Drava Ptuj	4:1

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