The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dravinja 28.1%
Draw 25.8%
Bistrica 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
26.4%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
25.9%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dravinja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bistrica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dravinja than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Dravinja - Bistrica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dravinja won 2.
Dravinja has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bistrica has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bistrica is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Dravinja has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:18 (averaging 0.9:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dravinja against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
NK Bistrica
9
4
1
4
12:14
-2
13
15
Dravinja
9
1
1
7
9:24
-15
4
Last Results with these Odds
Dravinja - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.