Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Drenica		Drita Bogovinje

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.62
	5.05	3.24	1.67
	4.66	3.62	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.14)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drenica
18.7%

Draw
25.9%

Drita Bogovinje
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.3%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drenica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Drita Bogovinje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drenica than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Bogovinje than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drita Bogovinje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Drenica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Drita is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Drenica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Drita have a series of home games.

In this match Drita is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Drenica won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Drenica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Drenica
Kosovo Superliga
05.12.20	Arbëria - Drenica	1:0 ✺
30.11.20	Drenica - Llapi	0:1 ✺
26.11.20	Drenica - Ballkani	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Gjilani - Drenica	1:0 ✺
10.11.20	Drenica - Feronikeli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Drita Bogovinje
Kosovo Superliga
06.12.20	Drita Bogovinje - Ballkani	2:1 ✺
North Macedonian 2 MFL
05.12.20	Drita Bogovinje - Veleshta	0:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
03.12.20	Drita Bogovinje - Llapi	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Gjilani - Drita Bogovinje	2:3 ✺
North Macedonian 2 MFL
25.11.20	Drita Bogovinje - Teteks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
24.10.20	Drita Bogovinje - Drenica	4:1
21.07.20	Drita Bogovinje - Drenica	1:0
28.02.20	Drita Bogovinje - Drenica	4:1
08.10.19	Drenica - Drita Bogovinje	1:1
14.04.19	Drita Bogovinje - Drenica	2:2
01.03.19	Drita Bogovinje - Drenica	2:0

Drenica - Drita Bogovinje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide