Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday


	Dubai City		Fursan Hispania

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.91	3.35	3.4
	1.98	3.35	3.25
	1.93	3.46	3.52
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.58	3.4
	2	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.64)	3.39 ↓ (4.32)	3.37 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubai City
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Fursan Hispania
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

19.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubai City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dubai City's form might have worsened.

Fursan Hispania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai City than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dubai City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fursan Hispania than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Dubai City - Fursan Hispania Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dubai City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fursan Hispania will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dubai City: 4% – 71%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17).

Dubai City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fursan Hispania is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dubai City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dubai City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dubai City FC
UAE Division 1
16.12.22	Al Rams - Dubai City	0:0 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
05.12.22	Dubai City - Al-Nasr	0:5 ✺
UAE Division 1
25.11.22	Dubai City - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Al Dhaid - Dubai City	3:0 ✺
11.11.22	Dubai City - Masfout	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL
- Fursan Hispania
UAE Presidents Cup
06.12.22	Fursan Hispania - Gulf Heroes	0:2 ✺
UAE Division 1
25.11.22	Fursan Hispania - Al Rams	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Fursan Hispania	9:2 ✺
12.11.22	Fursan Hispania - Al Dhaid	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Masfout - Fursan Hispania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW

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