Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday


	Dubai City		Gulf Heroes

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.83
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.81	3.4	1.86
	3.81	3.4	1.87
	3.2	3.1	2
	3.87	3.63	1.83
	3.75	3.4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.42)	3.37 ↑ (2.87)	1.88 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubai City
24.7%

Draw
26.9%

Gulf Heroes
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

32.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

31.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubai City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gulf Heroes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gulf Heroes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gulf Heroes than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gulf Heroes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Rashidov S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Ahmad A. H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 3, Mahamat A. S. ⚽,
65', 1 - 4, Fofana R. ⚽,
68', 2 - 4, Henrique W. ⚽,
89', Hamza Ali H. 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Dubai City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gulf Heroes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gulf Heroes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dubai City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dubai City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dubai City FC
UAE Division 1
05.04.24	Al Dhaid - Dubai City	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gulf United - Dubai City	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Dubai City - Al Urooba	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Al-Taawon - Dubai City	4:1 ✺
04.03.24	Dubai City - United FC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Gulf Heroes FC
UAE Division 1
06.04.24	Masafi - Gulf Heroes	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Gulf Heroes - Al Dhaid	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Dibba Al Fujairah - Gulf Heroes	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Gulf Heroes - Al Rams	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Al-Fujairah - Gulf Heroes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
24.11.23	Gulf Heroes - Dubai City	2:1
27.01.23	Gulf Heroes - Dubai City	1:0
16.09.22	Dubai City - Gulf Heroes	1:0
30.01.22	Dubai City - Gulf Heroes	0:3
16.10.21	Gulf Heroes - Dubai City	3:1

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