Match Info

SLOVAKIA: 2. LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Mestský futbalový štadión Dubnica (Dubnica)


	Dubnica		Spartak Myjava

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.1	2.48
	2.58	3.19	2.7
	2.62	3.3	2.56
	2.72	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.87)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.52 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubnica
35%

Draw
28.6%

Spartak Myjava
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.4%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Spartak Myjava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubnica than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Myjava than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Myjava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Dubnica is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spartak Myjava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak Myjava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dubnica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Dubnica
Slovak 2 Liga
05.03.23	Slovan Bratislava II - Dubnica	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Dubnica - Púchov	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Dubnica - Karviná	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Dubnica - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:1 ✺
24.01.23	Dubnica - Győri ETO II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTW
- Spartak Myjava
Slovak 2 Liga
03.03.23	Spartak Myjava - Slavoj Trebišov	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Žilina B - Spartak Myjava	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Spartak Myjava - Sered	4:1 ✺
24.01.23	Spartak Myjava - Beluša	3:2 ✺
21.01.23	Spartak Myjava - Skalica	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 2 Liga
12.08.22	Spartak Myjava - Dubnica	3:1
Club Friendly
07.02.14	Spartak Myjava - Dubnica	5:1
16.02.13	Spartak Myjava - Dubnica	1:1

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