Match Info

Druga NL - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Dugo Selo		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.73	3.91	2.06
	2.86	3.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	3.79 ↑ (3.78)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugo Selo
32.4%

Draw
24%

Jadran Luka Ploče
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugo Selo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jadran Luka Ploče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugo Selo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dugo Selo won 0.

Dugo Selo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jadran Luka Ploče's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dugo Selo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jadran Luka Ploče is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dugo Selo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dugo Selo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Jadran Luka Ploče - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugo Selo
Croatian Druga NL
20.09.25	Varteks Varazdin - Dugo Selo	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Dugo Selo - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.09.25	Dugo Selo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:4 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
06.09.25	Solin - Dugo Selo	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Dugo Selo - Mladost Ždralovi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
20.09.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Grobničan	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Kustošija - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Uskok Klis	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Segesta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
24.05.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:3
23.11.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:2
24.05.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:1
18.11.23	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0
21.05.23	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2
12.11.22	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:1

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