Match Info

Druga NL - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Dugo Selo		Marsonia

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.7	3.85
	1.57	4.93	4.04	Watch
	1.63	3.82	4.91
	1.59	4.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	4.54 ↑ (3.4)	4.16 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugo Selo
57.6%

Draw
20.3%

Marsonia
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugo Selo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dugo Selo's performance.

Marsonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugo Selo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dugo Selo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsonia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Dugo Selo - Marsonia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsonia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Medimorec B. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Petkovic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Milicevic M. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Darojkovic I. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Druga NL (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Dugo Selo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marsonia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dugo Selo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dugo Selo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dugo Selo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Dugo Selo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugo Selo
Croatian Druga NL
29.03.25	Solin - Dugo Selo	7:0 ✺
22.03.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Poreč	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Trnje Zagreb - Dugo Selo	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Dugo Selo - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bjelovar - Dugo Selo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- NK Marsonia
Croatian Druga NL
21.03.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Marsonia	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kustošija - Marsonia	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Radnik Križevci - Marsonia	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Marsonia - Grobničan	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Marsonia - Solin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
16.03.24	Marsonia - Dugo Selo	1:2
09.09.23	Dugo Selo - Marsonia	0:3
03.06.23	Dugo Selo - Marsonia	0:4
26.11.22	Marsonia - Dugo Selo	2:2

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