Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)


	Duisburg		Köln II

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.6
	1.55	4.15	7.42
	1.53	3.59	6.37
	1.47	3.65	6.88
	1.53	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	3.92 ↑ (3.77)	6.37 ↓ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
61.5%

Draw
23.9%

Köln II
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

24.7%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

23.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duisburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Duisburg - Köln II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Hoger M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Bookjans J. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Meuer S. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Willms D. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Duisburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Köln II is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Duisburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Duisburg to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
12.04.25	Düren - Duisburg	0:6 ✺
04.04.25	Duisburg - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rödinghausen - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Duisburg - Schalke 04 II	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Wiedenbrück - Duisburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
11.04.25	Köln II - Wuppertal	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Köln II	0:4 ✺
29.03.25	Uerdingen - Köln II	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:0 ✺
German Regionalliga West
15.03.25	Köln II - Düren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
25.10.24	Köln II - Duisburg	1:1

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