Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: FNL - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Juliska (Prague)

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Dukla Prague		Prostějov

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75	Watch
	1.52	3.9	4.8
	1.53	4.2	4.75
	1.39	4.66	5.98
	1.57	3.72	6.34
	1.52	4.21	5.38	Watch
	1.51	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)	4.17 ↓ (4.65)	5.34 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dukla Prague
60.8%

Draw
22%

Prostějov
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dukla Prague's form might have worsened.

Prostějov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dukla Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prostějov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dukla Prague - Prostějov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rada F. (G) 11. Doudera M. 18. Hasek D. 6. Holis R. 16. Hora J. 23. Kozel D. 39. Kozma D. 22. Matejka L. 7. Peterka J. (C) 19. Ullman O. 17. Vondrasek T.	27. Mucha F. (G) 25. Bartolomeu R. 15. Bednar A. 21. Habusta J. 14. Harustak J. 70. Koudelka J. (C) 18. Latal R. 28. Malec T. 9. Matousek J. 11. Simek S. 12. Sterba J.
Substitutes
26. Barac J. 25. Jerabek J. 2. Ludvicek D. 9. Mesanovic M. 10. Moulis P. 29. Stovicek J. (G) 27. Zeronik J.	19. Abdoulkarim M. J. 13. Jaron P. 29. Mach M. 10. Matocha M. 6. Rudzan O. 7. Slamena P. 30. Vejmola L. (G)
Coaches
Rada P.	Kucera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Simek S. ⚽,
14', Simek S. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Hora J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Koudelka J. ⚽,
59', Kozel D. ↓, Mesanovic M. ↑,
65', Koudelka J. ↓, Matocha M. ↑,
65', Simek S. ↓, Rudzan O. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Vondrasek T. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Mesanovic M. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Matocha M. 🟨,
90+4', Mesanovic M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FORTUNA:LIGA and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dukla Prague won 2.

Dukla Prague is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Prostějov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dukla Prague is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dukla Prague to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dukla Prague won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Dukla Prague won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dukla Prague
Czech Division 2
08.05.24	Chrudim - Dukla Prague	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Dukla Prague - Vlašim	5:1 ✺
27.04.24	Dukla Prague - Sigma Olomouc B	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Dukla Prague	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Dukla Prague - Opava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- 1. Prostějov
Czech Division 2
08.05.24	Prostějov - Příbram	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Artis Brno - Prostějov	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Prostějov - Vysočina Jihlava	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	5:1 ✺
17.04.24	Prostějov - Vyškov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
28.10.23	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	1:2
24.05.23	Dukla Prague - Prostějov	4:1
05.11.22	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	4:2
16.04.22	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	2:1
01.10.21	Dukla Prague - Prostějov	0:1
07.04.21	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	1:0
29.08.20	Dukla Prague - Prostějov	0:0

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