Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Dumbrăviţa		Unirea Constanța

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.25
	1.36	5	5.75
	1.37	4.5	6.4
	1.45	4.76	6.43
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.32	4.7	7.8	Watch
	1.43	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.95)	4.54 ↑ (3.25)	6.7 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbrăviţa
66.2%

Draw
20.2%

Unirea Constanța
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbrăviţa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumbrăviţa's performance.

Unirea Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unirea Constanța might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbrăviţa than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumbrăviţa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unirea Constanța than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unirea Constanța could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	5.3%	36.8%

Dumbrăviţa - Unirea Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dumbrăviţa will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Unirea Constanța will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dumbrăviţa: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group) and 19 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group)).

Dumbrăviţa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Unirea Constanța is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dumbrăviţa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSC Dumbrăvița
Romanian Division 2
13.11.22	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Dumbrăviţa	4:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
10.11.22	Dumbrăviţa - CFR Cluj	0:5 ✺
Romanian Division 2
05.11.22	Dumbrăviţa - Politehnica Iași	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Braşov - Dumbrăviţa	4:0 ✺
22.10.22	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Dumbrăviţa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Unirea Constanța
Romanian Division 2
12.11.22	Unirea Constanța - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	CSM Slatina - Unirea Constanța	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Unirea Constanța - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	1:3 ✺
22.10.22	Ripensia Timișoara - Unirea Constanța	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Unirea Constanța - Baia Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWLLW

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