Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Dumiense		Bragança

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.16
	2.97	3.19	2.29
	2.98	3.14	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.34)	2.22 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
30.1%

Draw
28.7%

Bragança
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

27.2%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumiense's performance.

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bragança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bragança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dumiense - Bragança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Areias J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Silvano N. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Gomes L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent matches Dumiense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bragança is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bragança will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Dumiense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Dumiense - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Os Sandinenses - Dumiense	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Dumiense - Paredes	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Dumiense - Limianos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWLW
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tirsense - Bragança	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Bragança - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vianense - Bragança	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Vila Real - Bragança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.09.24	Bragança - Dumiense	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Bragança - Dumiense	1:0
23.10.22	Dumiense - Bragança	3:0

Dumiense - Bragança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide