Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Ruse)


	Dunav Ruse		Maritsa Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.28	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	4.68 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunav Ruse
52.7%

Draw
27.8%

Maritsa Plovdiv
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

21.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunav Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunav Ruse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maritsa Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
51', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dunav Ruse is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maritsa Plovdiv is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dunav Ruse is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dunav Ruse won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunav Ruse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.03.24	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dunav Ruse - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bdin Vidin - Dunav Ruse	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTWL
- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.03.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Bdin Vidin	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.09.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	0:1
25.02.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	1:2
30.07.22	Dunav Ruse - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:1

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