Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion (Ruse)


	Dunav Ruse		Vitosha Bistritsa

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	5.6
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.55	3.85	6.28
	1.48	3.9	6	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.92)	3.83 ↑ (3.23)	5.98 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunav Ruse
61.1%

Draw
23.7%

Vitosha Bistritsa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunav Ruse's performance.

Vitosha Bistritsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitosha Bistritsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunav Ruse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitosha Bistritsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dunav Ruse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vitosha will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunav Ruse: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunav Ruse won 3.

Recent matches Dunav Ruse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitosha is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dunav Ruse is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dunav Ruse won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunav Ruse won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.09.22	Montana - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Dunav Ruse - Botev Plovdiv II	5:0 ✺
03.09.22	Krumovgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Dunav Ruse - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Ludogorets II - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTL
- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.09.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Lovech	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Spartak Pleven - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
30.08.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.12.19	Vitosha Bistritsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1
12.08.19	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:0
13.05.19	Vitosha Bistritsa - Dunav Ruse	0:1
08.05.19	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	0:0
03.11.18	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	3:0
20.07.18	Vitosha Bistritsa - Dunav Ruse	2:1
14.05.18	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	3:1

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