Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Dundela		Strabane Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	4.10
	1.72	3.55	4
	1.69	3.56	3.93
	1.73	3.79	4.08	Watch
	1.65	3.45	3.85
	1.67	3.6	4.31
	1.72	3.55	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	4.02 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundela
52.8%

Draw
25%

Strabane Athletic
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Strabane Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strabane Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Dundela - Strabane Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 14th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, Dundela has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Strabane Athletic has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Strabane Athletic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dundela carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19:24	-5	11
15	Strabane Athletic	13	2	4	7	11:22	-11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
05.09.26	Dundela - Glenavon	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dundela - Annagh United	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Ards - Dundela	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Crusaders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTTL
- Strabane Athletic
Northern Irish Championship
11.09.26	Strabane Athletic - Newry City	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Strabane Athletic - Newington	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Strabane Athletic - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Moyola Park - Strabane Athletic	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Limavady United - Strabane Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWL

Dundela - Strabane Athletic