The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Barnaul 58.7%
Draw 23.5%
Ural 2 17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
22.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Dynamo Barnaul have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Ural 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Barnaul than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Bychkov I. (G) 49. Bakay D. 15. Eruslanov M. 53. Ilik V. 14. Mogel K. 10. Osipov M. 13. Petukhov A. 3. Sergeev Z. 83. Simakov K. 96. Yarkin A. 7. Zhitnikov I.
85. Zarutskiy Y. (G) 61. Alferov I. 84. Belov L. 45. Khanov L. 33. Khatuntsev I. 35. Khrisanfov N. 74. Kiselev D. 76. Nem V. 92. Ryzhkov I. 31. Sergeev M. M. 30. Sidorov K.
Substitutes
79. Chalyi N. 8. Grishakov A. 78. Kommusar R. 35. Kulish M. (G) 18. Shadura A. 86. Vinter D.
63. Beshtoev M. 82. Bondarenko S. 51. Kulikov A. 88. Pavlov V. (G) 62. Satuchin P. 54. Sekach D. 52. Shakhmatov I. 98. Zolkin S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Osipov M. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Yarkin A. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Belov L. ⚽,
19', Bychkov I. 🟨,
27', Nem V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Petukhov A. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Yarkin A. ⚽,
63', Khatuntsev I. ↓, Sekach D. ↑,
63', Alferov I. ↓, Zolkin S. ↑,
70', Belov L. 🟨,
71', Nem V. ↓, Bondarenko S. ↑,
71', Khanov L. ↓, Satuchin P. ↑,
75', Simakov K. ↓, Shadura A. ↑,
75', Bakay D. ↓, Chalyi N. ↑,
85', Mogel K. ↓, Vinter D. ↑,
88', Petukhov A. ↓, Kommusar R. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Barnaul won 2.
In recent matches, Dynamo Barnaul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ural 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Dynamo Barnaul is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Barnaul won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Barnaul won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).