Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Düren		Bocholt

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.05	2.39
	2.83	3.3	2.5
	2.78	3.27	2.37
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.75	3.05	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.75)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
32.9%

Draw
28.8%

Bocholt
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Düren's form might have worsened.

Bocholt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Düren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bocholt than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Düren - Bocholt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Amedick M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Holldack J. ⚽,
63', 0 - 3, Assibey-Mensah R. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Düren won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
22.02.25	Rödinghausen - Düren	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Düren - Schalke 04 II	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Wiedenbrück - Düren	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Düren - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Düren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTT
- 1. FC Bocholt
German Regionalliga West
22.02.25	Uerdingen - Bocholt	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Bocholt - Rödinghausen	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Schalke 04 II - Bocholt	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bocholt - Wiedenbrück	3:3 ✺
25.01.25	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
14.09.24	Bocholt - Düren	1:1
04.05.24	Düren - Bocholt	1:1
11.11.23	Bocholt - Düren	0:0
26.11.22	Bocholt - Düren	0:3
23.07.22	Düren - Bocholt	3:1

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