Match Info

Date: 5 September 2021, Sunday


	Düren		Glesch-Paffendorf

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	11
	1.22	5	7.5
	1.23	5	8.4
	1.28	5.52	10.1
	1.23	5.75	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.4 ↑ (5)	9.24 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
73.5%

Draw
16.7%

Glesch-Paffendorf
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

11.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Düren's performance.

Glesch-Paffendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glesch-Paffendorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Düren than the current prediction. (-31.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Düren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glesch-Paffendorf than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glesch-Paffendorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Düren - Glesch Paffendorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Düren is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Glesch-Paffendorf in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Düren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Düren is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Düren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
29.08.21	Breinig - Düren	Duren awarded ✺
22.08.21	Düren - Wesseling-Urfeld	7:0 ✺
19.08.21	Siegburger - Düren	1:1 ✺
13.08.21	Düren - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Düren - Fortuna Köln	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 ?WTWT
- BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
29.08.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Deutz	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	VfL Alfter - Glesch-Paffendorf	1:2 ✺
19.08.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Pesch	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Vichttal - Glesch-Paffendorf	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.21	Meerbusch - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
20.09.20	Düren - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:0

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